Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.001021 0.001100 0.001183 0.001279 0.001387 0.001503 0.001639
2025-12-14 0.000902 0.001007 0.001124 0.001265 0.001432 0.001625 0.001867
2025-12-21 0.000815 0.000932 0.001067 0.001235 0.001444 0.001696 0.002029
2025-12-28 0.000727 0.000845 0.000984 0.001163 0.001391 0.001676 0.002068
2026-01-04 0.000667 0.000786 0.000929 0.001117 0.001364 0.001682 0.002136
2026-01-11 0.000629 0.000751 0.000900 0.001101 0.001371 0.001730 0.002260
2026-01-18 0.000601 0.000725 0.000881 0.001096 0.001390 0.001793 0.002409
2026-01-25 0.000654 0.000807 0.001004 0.001285 0.001689 0.002273 0.003230
2026-02-01 0.000612 0.000761 0.000955 0.001236 0.001647 0.002253 0.003274
2026-02-08 0.000578 0.000725 0.000918 0.001201 0.001621 0.002254 0.003352
2026-02-15 0.000555 0.000701 0.000896 0.001185 0.001623 0.002299 0.003504
2026-02-22 0.000535 0.000681 0.000878 0.001175 0.001633 0.002353 0.003681
2026-03-01 0.000508 0.000651 0.000848 0.001150 0.001624 0.002392 0.003858
2026-03-08 0.000486 0.000629 0.000828 0.001138 0.001636 0.002465 0.004115
2026-03-15 0.000462 0.000602 0.000800 0.001112 0.001624 0.002496 0.004294
2026-03-22 0.000429 0.000562 0.000750 0.001049 0.001544 0.002400 0.004199
2026-03-29 0.000406 0.000534 0.000717 0.001010 0.001502 0.002367 0.004231
2026-04-05 0.000391 0.000517 0.000700 0.000996 0.001501 0.002410 0.004436
2026-04-12 0.000379 0.000505 0.000689 0.000991 0.001516 0.002482 0.004718
2026-04-19 0.000409 0.000557 0.000777 0.001155 0.001848 0.003225 0.006823
2026-04-26 0.000389 0.000531 0.000745 0.001113 0.001794 0.003168 0.006838
2026-05-03 0.000373 0.000511 0.000719 0.001082 0.001761 0.003150 0.006965
2026-05-10 0.000361 0.000497 0.000705 0.001069 0.001759 0.003204 0.007312